Barcelona welcome Real Madrid to the first Clásico of the league season with a perfect domestic record and a six-point advantage over their rivals, while the visitors arrive without the suspended Vinícius Júnior.
On October 26 at 01:30 IST, “Barcelona” will face “Real Madrid” at “Spotify Camp Nou”. The fixture is officially played on October 25 at 21:00 in Barcelona, with the calendar date changing after conversion to Indian time.
Barcelona lead LaLiga with 27 points from nine matches and have won every league game. Real Madrid have 21 points from nine matches and sit third. Both clubs played in the UEFA Champions League during the week: Barcelona lost 4-2 away to “Paris Saint-Germain”, while Real Madrid defeated “RB Leipzig” 4-1.
Teams Current Form
“Barcelona” form
Barcelona have produced a perfect start to their domestic campaign. Nine LaLiga matches have brought nine victories and 27 points.
Hansi Flick’s side have also been extremely productive. In their latest league matches Barcelona defeated “Getafe” 3-0 and “Real Betis” 5-2, while they also scored four away to “Galatasaray” in the Champions League.
Lamine Yamal and Anthony Gordon give the team speed on the flanks, while Raphinha can operate both centrally and from the left side. Pedri remains one of the key players in possession and Marc Bernal provides balance behind the attacking line.
The 4-2 defeat against PSG was Barcelona’s first recent setback and also produced an important personnel problem. Dani Olmo suffered an injury to his left adductor and is expected to miss approximately one month.
Fermín López replaced Olmo during the PSG match and is therefore the most direct factual replacement in the latest official starting XI.
“Real Madrid” form
Real Madrid enter the Clásico after four victories in their last five official matches. José Mourinho’s side defeated “Villarreal” 1-0, won 4-3 away to “Roma”, beat “Sevilla” 4-1 and then defeated “RB Leipzig” by the same 4-1 score.
The attacking structure remains dangerous. Kylian Mbappé is the central reference, Jude Bellingham and Arda Güler operate behind him, and Bernardo Silva gives Madrid another player capable of controlling possession under pressure.
The major change concerns Vinícius Júnior. He started against Leipzig because his suspension applies to domestic competition, but he is unavailable for the Clásico.
Yan Diomande replaced Vinícius during the Leipzig match and is the projected replacement for the league fixture.
Denzel Dumfries is available. He was on the bench against Leipzig, so Federico Valverde’s position at right-back in the latest official XI was a tactical choice rather than a forced change caused by Dumfries being unavailable.
Probable Lineups
“Barcelona” lineup
4-2-3-1: Joan García, Xavi Espart, Pau Cubarsí, Gerard Martín, João Cancelo, Marc Bernal, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Fermín López, Anthony Gordon, Raphinha.
Dani Olmo started against PSG but suffered an injury to his left adductor and is expected to be unavailable for approximately one month. Fermín López replaced him in that match and is therefore projected to start in his position.
Jules Koundé remains a fitness concern after an ankle injury, but he did not start against PSG and is not inserted automatically into the potential XI.
“Real Madrid” lineup
4-2-3-1: Thibaut Courtois, Federico Valverde, Antonio Rüdiger, Dean Huijsen, Álvaro Carreras, Bernardo Silva, Eduardo Camavinga, Arda Güler, Jude Bellingham, Yan Diomande, Kylian Mbappé.
Vinícius Júnior started against Leipzig but is suspended for the Clásico. Yan Diomande, who replaced him during the European match, is projected to take his position.
Denzel Dumfries was available on the bench against Leipzig. There is therefore no confirmed reason to replace Valverde automatically at right-back.
Who will not play
For “Barcelona”, Dani Olmo is unavailable with a left adductor injury. Eric García and Andreas Christensen remain sidelined with muscular problems, while Roony Bardghji is unavailable with a knee injury.
Jules Koundé is being assessed after an ankle injury.
For “Real Madrid”, Vinícius Júnior is suspended. Rodrygo is unavailable with a knee injury, Ferland Mendy remains sidelined with a thigh injury and Raúl Asencio is unavailable after a leg fracture.
Denzel Dumfries is available and should not be included among Real Madrid’s absences.
The most accurate information on the final starting lineups will be available immediately before the meeting.
Statistics for the Last 5 Matches
“Barcelona”
20.10.26, UEFA Champions League: Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 Barcelona
17.10.26, LaLiga: Real Betis 2-5 Barcelona
13.10.26, UEFA Champions League: Galatasaray 1-4 Barcelona
10.10.26, LaLiga: Barcelona 3-0 Getafe
19.09.26, LaLiga: Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona
In the last five official matches, “Barcelona” have 4 wins and 1 defeat. The team scored 17 goals and conceded 8.
“Real Madrid”
21.10.26, UEFA Champions League: Real Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig
18.10.26, LaLiga: Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla
14.10.26, UEFA Champions League: Roma 3-4 Real Madrid
10.10.26, LaLiga: Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal
20.09.26, LaLiga: Atlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
In the last five official matches, “Real Madrid” have 4 wins and 1 defeat. The team scored 14 goals and conceded 7.
Head-to-Head Statistics
10.05.26, LaLiga: Barcelona 2-0 Real Madrid
11.01.26, Spanish Super Cup Final: Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid
26.10.25, LaLiga: Real Madrid 2-1 Barcelona
11.05.25, LaLiga: Barcelona 4-3 Real Madrid
26.04.25, Copa del Rey Final: Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid, after extra time
In the last five official head-to-head matches, “Barcelona” have 4 wins and “Real Madrid” have 1 win. Barcelona scored 13 goals and Real Madrid scored 9.
Main prediction for the “Barcelona” - “Real Madrid” game
Barcelona – Real Madrid: forecast on event 25 October 2026
Barcelona Win
Barcelona’s defeat in Paris showed that the team can be exposed by elite opposition, but their domestic record remains perfect. Nine league matches have produced nine victories, and the attacking unit has repeatedly punished opponents once matches become open.
The absence of Vinícius is particularly important for Real Madrid. Mourinho still has Mbappé, Bellingham, Güler and Diomande, but Vinícius is one of the players best suited to attacking the space behind Barcelona’s defensive line.
Recent direct meetings also favor the hosts. Barcelona have won four of the last five official Clásicos, including the 2-0 league victory in May and the Spanish Super Cup final in January.
Real Madrid are in strong form and should create chances, but home advantage, Barcelona’s perfect league record and the forced change in Madrid’s attack give the hosts the stronger overall match-result profile.
For
Additional predictions
Barcelona – Real Madrid: forecast on event 25 October 2026
Total over 2.5 goals
Four of the last five official meetings between the teams produced at least three goals. Barcelona have scored 17 goals in their last five official matches and Real Madrid have scored 14.
Both teams possess enough attacking quality to punish mistakes in transition. Barcelona’s aggressive positioning can leave space behind the defensive line, while Real Madrid’s own attacking approach should give the hosts opportunities at the opposite end.
Three or more total goals therefore looks like a reasonable secondary betting direction.
